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Structured Decision Making with ISM
Structured Decision Making with Interpretive Structural Modeling   

This book provides the theoretical background of the Interpretive Structural Modeling (ISM) method as well as detailed instructions for both individual and group use. It does not attempt to teach general facilitation skills, but does provide numerous practical tips for facilitators wishing to use ISM for group decision making sessions.

It can be purchased in the following ways:

Book Summary

Preface

The pace and complexity of life is increasing dramatically due to fierce competition, globalization, and unprecedented choice. Success in this environment is dependent upon making sound, timely decisions.

In the business world, managers often postpone major decisions, fearing that a wrong choice could harm the business and their career. Similarly, in our personal lives, many important decisions are put off or made by default. Lack of insight and understanding of a complex issue is a common reason why people postpone making major decisions.

An astounding tool, known only in select circles of management consultants, can help remedy this situation. This tool is called Interpretive Structural Modeling (ISM). ISM can bring diverse ideas together to provide thorough understanding of complex issues, leading to better solutions and decisions. ISM also forms the core of a powerful method that focuses the knowledge of a group to create outstanding results.

Widespread use of ISM can provide significant benefits to the world community, from delivering better products with faster market introduction, to understanding and correcting problems such as global warming. Every knowledge worker and consulting professional should have access to this powerful tool. Unfortunately, suitable literature is not available for a new user to learn ISM without going through several trial and error cycles. This book is intended to fill that gap.


Table of Contents

1. INTRODUCTION 1
WHAT IS INTERPRETIVE STRUCTURAL MODELING (ISM)? 2
Conceptual View of ISM 3
Why does ISM Work so Well? 5
Decision Making Processes 8
Is ISM a Computer Tool? 9
Tools for Ideas and Numbers 10

2. COMPLEX PROBLEMS & SOLUTION FORMING PROCESSES 13
COMPLEX PROBLEMS 13
Information Related Barriers 14
Organizational Barriers 14
APPROACHES TO A SOLUTION 15
Perception Issues 15
Dealing with Perception Issues 15
Dealing with Information Barriers 16
USEFUL GROUP PRACTICES 17
PROBLEM SOLVING ENVIRONMENT 19
Social Environment 19
Physical Environment 20
Problem Solving Steps: 22

3. APPLICATIONS OF INTERPRETIVE STRUCTURAL MODELING 25
ISM AS A TRANSFORM FUNCTION 25
ISM APPLICATIONS & EXAMPLES 27
PERSONAL USES OF ISM 29
Example - Personal Values Analysis 29
STRATEGIC PLANNING WITH ISM 35
The Strategic Planning Process 36
Role of Strategic Planners 38
SCENARIO PLANNING WITH ISM 39
Traditional Method of Scenario Planning 39
ISM Based Scenario Planning 40
ISM & OTHER MANAGEMENT PROBLEM SOLVING TECHNIQUES 43

4. CREATING AN INTERPRETIVE STRUCTURAL MODEL (ISM) 45
INTRODUCTION 45
ISM AND COMPLEMENTARY SKILLS 45
Skills Needed for Group based Application of ISM 46
DESCRIPTION OF ISM STEPS 49
Step 1 - Define the Problem or Issue to be Analyzed 50
Step 2 - Create List of Ideas 58
Step 3 - Research Ideas to Understand Significance 72
Step 4 - Construct the ISM 73
Step 5 - Creating Action Plans 92

5. EXAMPLE - USING ISM FOR BUSINESS RE-ENGINEERING 95
INTRODUCTION 95
EXAMPLE 96
The First Meeting 96
Trial ISM Construction (before the session) 98
Session Planning 99
Session 1 - Idea Generation and Preliminary Screening 107
Session 2 - Construction of ISM 116
Session 3 - Decisions 124

6 ISM AND OTHER MANAGEMENT TOOLS 137
SEQUENCING AND PRIORITIZATION 138
AFFINITY DIAGRAM 140
VENN DIAGRAM 142
PRIORITY STRUCTURE 143
ACTIVITY NETWORK DIAGRAM 145
INTERRELATIONSHIP DIAGRAM 147
CROSS IMPACT TABLE 148
FLOWCHARTS 149
ROOT CAUSE ANALYSIS 151
Fishbone Diagram 152
Impact Map 153
TREE DIAGRAM 154
IMPACT WHEEL 156
INTENT STRUCTURE 157
NOMINAL GROUP TECHNIQUE (NGT) 159

APPENDIX A - EXPLORING HUMAN THINKING 163
VISUAL MAPPING 163
DIVERSITY OF IDEAS 165

APPENDIX B - BACKGROUND AND THEORETICAL BASIS OF ISM 67
BACKGROUND 167
TRANSITIVE LOGIC 167

APPENDIX C - SAMPLE TEMPLATES 169
ADTECH IDEA SHEET 169
PROJECT PLANNING TEMPLATE 170

APPENDIX D - QUESTIONS FOR SESSION FEEDBACK 171
 
APPENDIX E - EXAMPLE ISM APPLICATIONS 175
APPLICATIONS OF INTERACTIVE MANAGEMENT IN PLANNING FOR A UNIVERSITY DEPARTMENT 175
GROUP PROCESSES FOR MAKING PUBLIC EXPENDITURE REDUCTION DECISIONS 177
Application Example 177
A CULTURALLY SENSITIVE APPROACH TO TRIBAL GOVERNANCE ISSUE MANAGEMENT 180
Day 1 - Examine the problems related to tribal governance 180
Day 2 - Generate options to resolve the tribal governance situation 181
Session Outcomes 182

APPENDIX F - SOURCE OF ISM SOFTWARE 183
 
APPENDIX G - EXAMPLE SOLUTION 184
 
GLOSSARY 187
 
INDEX 193
 
REFERENCES 198
 

List of Figures

Figure 1-1: Conceptual View of ISM
Figure 1-2: Fundamental steps to construct an effective ISM
Figure 1-3: Example ISM Voting screen
Figure 1-4: Example Interpretive Structural Model
Figure 1-5: Decision-Making Processes

Figure 2-1: Messy problem involving several groups

Figure 3-1: ISM Transforms Complex Problems into Linear Problems
Figure 3-2: Sandra's ISM
Figure 3-3: Strategic Planning Process
Figure 3-4: Traditional Scenario Planning Process
Figure 3-5: Traditional Scenario Planning with ISM
Figure 3-6: ISM based Scenario Planning with Multiple Uncertainties

Figure 4-1: Facilitation Skills for Team-based ISM
Figure 4-2: Process to create a useful list of ideas
Figure 4-3: Idea Sheets with stickers showing Importance and Lack of Information
Figure 4-4: Scatter-graph of Idea Sheets
Figure 4-5: Example screen used to construct ISM
Figure 4-6: Example Voting Screen for Business Investment Strategy Developement
Figure 4-7: Estimating Time Needed for Voting

Figure 5-1: Outline of Sessions
Figure 5-2: Process Diagram
Figure 5-3: Idea Sheet Flow during Idea Generation Phase
Figure 5-4: Wall Graph of Ideas
Figure 5-5: Voting Screen
Figure 5-6: AdTech ISM

Figure 6-1: Example Venn Diagram
Figure 6-2: Example Impact Wheel

List of Tables

Table 1: Comparison of Operations for Ideas and for Numbers
Table 2: Implementation of Problem Solving Steps
Table 3: Management Tools and their Strengths
Table 4: ISM Applications
Table 5: ISM & Other Problem Solving Techniques
Table 6: Wording the Context
Table 7: Example ISM Control Phrases
Table 8: SWOT template example
Table 9: Action / Implementation Plan template example
Table 10: Template for Feasibility analysis
Table 11: Summary of Ideas for Implementation Planning
Table 12: Implementation Summary
Table 13: Example Cross Impact Table

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